Spurs beat Man United? Experts reveal how Premier League games should have ended

first_img Real result: AFC Bournemouth 0-1 Chelsea
Expected goals result: AFC Bournemouth 0.46-1.80 Chelsea 9 Real result: Manchester United 1-0 Tottenham Hotspur
Expected goals result: Manchester United 0.94-1.09 Tottenham Hotspur – Spurs win! – Learn more about expected goals below… 9 Real result: Arsenal 2-1 Swansea City
Expected goals result: Arsenal 2.38-0.84 Swansea City 9 Real result: Liverpool 3-0 Huddersfield Town
Expected goals result: Liverpool 2.20-0.06 Huddersfield Town 9 9 9 Real result: Brighton and Hove Albion 1-1 Southampton
Expected goals result: Brighton and Hove Albion 1.51-0.56 Southampton – Seagulls win! 9 Another round of Premier League matches finishes this evening, when Burnley host Newcastle with both teams looking to build on their impressive starts to the season.Over the weekend, we have seen Spurs fail to win away against a top six rival AGAIN – losing to Manchester United – while Manchester City kept their lead at the top of the table by defeating West Bromwich Albion.But, do the stats experts say the results from matchweek 10 were correct?‘Expected goals’ is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match, with every shot taken given an ‘expected goal’ value based on the difficulty of the attempt.Based on a number of factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders, the ‘expected goal’ value reveals the likelihood a specific shot will end in a goal; the higher the value, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shotThe ‘expected goal’ value of every shot in a game is used to calculate the ‘expected goals’ (xG) of a match. Click here to find out more about the calculations used to work out xG.Should a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team have been lucky to score so many in that match.So, how did every team perform compared to their xG in Premier League matchweek 10? Click the right arrow, above, to find out… Real result: Crystal Palace 2-2 West Ham United
Expected goals result: Crystal Palace 2.14-0.74 West Ham United Real result: Watford 0-1 Stoke City
Expected goals result: Watford 1.16-0.78 Stoke City – Watford win! 9 Real result: West Bromwich Albion 2-3 Manchester City
Expected goals result: West Bromwich Albion 1.12-2.77 Manchester City 9 Real result: Leicester City 2-0 Everton
Expected goals result: Leicester City 1.38-0.58 Evertonlast_img read more