Playoff Simulation: Oklahoma the favorite to win it all

first_imgUSA TODAYRanking Reaction: College Football Playoff couldn’t have been more clear .oembed-asset-link { background: #fff; border-bottom: 1px solid #e1e1e1; }.oembed-link-anchor { display: block; clear: both; }.oembed-link-thumbnail{ float: left; padding: 14px; }.oembed-link-thumbnail img { max-width: 78px; max-height: 60px; display: block; }p.oembed-link-title { font-size: 75%; color: #009BFF; margin: 0 14px; padding-top: 12px; font-weight:normal; text-align: left; line-height: 120%; }p.oembed-link-desc { font-size: 100%; color: #666; font-weight: normal; margin: 0 14px 14px 14px; font-family: ‘Futura Today Light’; text-align: left; line-height: 120%; } Prediction Machine’s Director of Research and Analytics, John Ewing, takes a look at how the College Football Playoff could shake out through 50,000 simulations. This year’s field has Clemson at the No. 1 seed facing No. 4 seed Oklahoma in the Orange Bowl and No. 2 seed Alabama facing No. 3 seed Michigan State in the Cotton Bowl. Follow John on Twitter @JohnEwing for more notes from his analysis and to let him know what else you may like to see with these projections.How this worksThe Predictalator uses current rosters and strength-of-schedule and efficiency-adjusted team and player stats (weighted slightly more toward recent games), to play every game 50,000 times before it’s actually played. For this analysis, we are tracking how likely a team is to make it to any level of the College Football Playoff.We finally know who is in, but who will win? With the College Football Playoff set, which team is the most likely champion?The most likely champion is …Clemson, Alabama and Michigan State all won titles on college football’s conference championship Saturday, but it’s the team that didn’t play that will win it all.Oklahoma is the No. 1 team in our Power Rankings. The Sooners have won seven consecutive games, including three in a row against ranked teams. Two of those three were on the road. Coach Bob Stoops’ team has the most efficient offense in the country. Oklahoma averages 543 yards and 45.8 points per game.Follow the road to the 2015 College Football Playoff at The Football Four, our home to rate and debate the nation’s best. After 50,000 simulations, the most likely national champion is Oklahoma. Oklahoma wins 44.6% of all the simulated tournaments. In the most likely national championship game, the Sooners defeat Alabama 54.8% of the time by an average score of 29-28. Stoops-coached Alabama teams are 3-0 vs. the Crimson Tide.Of the four teams in the playoff, Michigan State is the weakest. The Spartans have four wins against teams that ranked in the top 12 at the time of their matchups, but Mark Dantonio’s squad doesn’t rank in our top 10.Ohio State lost one game that cost them a shot at the Big Ten Championship and an opportunity to defend its crown. If the Buckeyes, who are No. 4 in our Power Rankings, switched places with Michigan State, Urban Meyer would have a 7.5% chance to win his fourth national championship. In that hypothetical scenario, Oklahoma would still be the most likely champion. Based on the analysis, here is the projected College Football Playoff bracket:Semifinals No. 1 seed Clemson vs. No. 4 seed OklahomaOklahoma wins 69.2% of the time and by an average score of 36-29.No. 2 seed Alabama vs. No. 3 seed Michigan StateAlabama wins 82.6% of the time and by an average score of 30-18.National ChampionshipNo 2 seed Alabama vs. No. 3 seed OklahomaOklahoma wins 54.8% of the time and by an average score of 29-28.The likelihoods for each team to win the championship are 44.6% for Oklahoma, 40.3% for Alabama, 12.8% for Clemson and 2.3% for Michigan State.last_img read more

Documents shed light on probe of UF quarterback

first_imgGAINESVILLE – The University of Florida made public police documents from its investigation of the claim by another student that Treon Harris had sex with the woman against her will. The report is 175 pages from the allegations following the team’s return home from a 10-9 win against Tennessee.A total of eight football players are named in the report as among those who were interviewed in the investigation, in which the woman first claimed she was attacked early in the morning of Oct. 6. The complaint was later withdrawn.The woman claims she lied down on Harris’ bed because she was tired, but then he forced himself on her, refusing to climb off and ignoring her pleas for him to stop. “I don’t want to have sex with you,” she recalled saying that night, according to a police report. Harris felt like a “dead weight” on top of her, she told investigators.Harris didn’t see it that way. In his initial interview with police Oct. 5, he said it all started with a kiss and didn’t recall her saying she didn’t want to have sex. “We were talking, and she did, she start kissing, we kissing each other, and like it just happened,” he told investigators, the report said. Asked to clarify what ‘it’ meant, Harris reportedly said, “We had sex.”Harris also text the woman to keep the incident private.According to the University Police report, the woman’s phone received a text from Harris’ phone that read: “Don’t tell nobody bout nothing.”The response: “And don’t try me ever again,” and, “I wouldn’t even come near me if I were yu.”While the woman elected not to pursue charges, the documents reveal some potentially damaging information about the Florida football team’s behavior at a time when Will Muschamp’s future at the school is in question. Muschamp named Harris the team’s starting QB for next week’s Georgia game. He was suspended early in the week before the LSU game on Oct. 11. He was reinstated when the woman elected not to pursue charges but Harris sat out the game anyway.Documents and police interviews reveal that many starters on the football team were at the Rain’ nightclub when it closed just before 2 a.m., the same night after the Gators had beaten Tennessee on Oct. 5 in Knoxville.Witnesses said there was drinking and “smoking’” by many of the players.last_img read more

Rangers Edge Twins 4-3 To Complete Sweep

first_imgThe Twins lost 4-3 at home to the Texas Rangers Sunday afternoon.  The Rangers complete the 3-game sweep and send the Twins to a American League worst 2-7.  Minnesota led until the 8th inning when Josh Hamilton hit a 2-run homerun off Twins’ reliever Glen Perkins.  Perkins allowed 2 hits and 3 earned runs without recording an out for the Twins.  Newly acquired outfielder Clete Thomas hit a 2-run homerun in his Twins debut.Jamey Carroll and Denard Span each had 2 hits and Liam Hendriks threw 6 innings with 7 hits and 1 earned run but didn’t figure in the final decision.  Former Twins, Joe Nathan threw a scoreless 9th inning to get the save for the Rangers. 360p Visit Advertiser website GO TO PAGE Skip Auto (360p) 720p HD 1080p HDcenter_img 1/1 Minnesota will play at New York beginning a 4-game series with the Yankees at 6:05, pregame on WJON at 5:35.  Righthander Carl Pavano will pitch for the Twins and righthander Freddy Garcia gets the ball for New York. About Connatix V56892 About Connatix V56892last_img read more

Waite Park City Council Looks to Approve Pickleball Court Plans

first_img 360p Visit Advertiser website GO TO PAGE Skip 720p HD WAITE PARK — Waite Park residents will be albe to play Pickleball games as soon as this fall.During last (Monday) night’s city council meeting, the council approved plans for six pickleball courts to be built at River’s Edge Park.Waite Park Public Works Director Bill Schluenz says with the approval they will now begin collecting bids for the project, which is estimated at $470,000. About Connatix V56892 The courts are part of Phase 3 of improvements to the park and will be built just south of the Splash Pad at the corner of 3rd Street and 10th Avenue.Schluenz says they have a bid date of June 30th and if all goes well construction will begin this summer with completion expected by September or October.center_img 1/1 1080p HD Auto (360p) About Connatix V56892last_img read more

Cricket News Steve Smith And David Warner Will Be Unfazed By Crowd Hostility In South Africa – Josh Hazlewood

first_imgMelbourne: Steve Smith and David Warner will be ready for whatever South African crowds throw at them when the Australia batsmen return to the nation two years after the ball-tampering scandal, paceman Josh Hazlewood has said. Steve Smith and David Warner will fly out with the Australia squad on Friday for a limited overs tour in the duo’s first visit to the country since serving 12-month bans for their parts in the tampering plot during the Cape Town Test. Steve Smith and David Warner were jeered relentlessly by English crowds during last year’s one-day World Cup and the following Ashes series, and Hazlewood said they would be unfazed by more hostility.”Steve and Dave have ticked off pretty much every box since coming back,” Hazlewood told reporters in Sydney on Thursday. “It’s just another one of those and I don’t think it’ll faze them one bit. They probably play better when it’s like this. It’s nothing we haven’t experienced before … we’ll be fine.”Steve Smith had a wonderful Ashes while David Warner was in fine form in the 2019/20 home summer. (Image credit: Getty Images)Both Smith and Warner have thrived since returning to the national fold after their bans expired last March. Smith played a leading role in Australia’s retention of the Ashes while Warner was awarded the Allan Border Medal for the third time on Monday as the country’s top cricketer in 2019. Local media have reported that the head of the national players’ union will tour with the side in South Africa to offer extra support for the players. Hazlewood said Smith and Warner would not need to be shielded.Also Read | David Warner Says Getting Cricket Taken Away ‘Really Hurt’ In Emotional Allan Border Medal Speech”They’ll probably try to take as much heat as they can actually, try to keep the young guys out of the spotlight,” added the paceman. Hazlewood said engaging positively with fans was the best way to defuse them. “Join in and try to have a good time with them. Often when you do that, they end up being on your side after a couple of overs,” he said. “It is when you fight them that it becomes to and fro, and quite abusive. Ride the storm and go along with it.” For all the Latest Sports News News, Cricket News News, Download News Nation Android and iOS Mobile Apps.last_img read more

Drom and Kiladangan look to join Loughmore in this years Tipperary SHC final

first_imgKiladangan’s Billy Seymour. Photo © www.sportsfocus.ie “We’re thrilled to be in the final, I’ll make no bones about it. We’ve been six years trying to get back to that stage and we’re after beating a couple of serious teams over the last few weeks. My initial reaction is just absolutely delighted to be in the final and we know we have a few bits to improve on, the last quarter there we wouldn’t have been terribly happy with but look, there’s room for improvement.We’ll be back in a couple of weeks time and hopefully we give a really good account of ourselves.”Drom and Inch and Kiladangan will be looking to join Loughmore in this years county final today.They square off in their county senior hurling semi-final at half 5 this evening in Semple stadium.The teams met in the group stage this year where Kiladangan ran out 9 point winners over the mid-side.Speaking ahead of today’s game, Drom Chairman John Egan is well aware of the task at hand:“We’ve no illusions at all at the seriousness of the challenge that’s facing us. We’ll relish that challenge, getting bet by 9 points the last day is a big hill to climb for us now but we’re happy that our team hurled well the last day.We’re up for the challenge and we look forward to it.”We’ll have live commentary of that game with thanks to Martin O’Dwyer, Family Butchers, at Friar St, Cashel.We’ll also have live commentary of the Seamus O’Riain semi-final today.That’s at half 1 in Semple stadium where Killenaule go up against Lorrha, with the winners going on to face Mullinahone in the final.There’s also a pair of minor hurling county finals taking place today.In the Minor A final, Cashel King Cormacs meet Thurles Sarsfields in Holycross at 12 o clock.At the same time in Dundrum, Arravale Rovers play Moycarkey-Borris in the Minor B final.In football, there’s 4 teams fighting for survival in the county senior football championship today.Both relegation semi-finals throw-in at 2 o clock and see Aherlow face Ardfinan in New Inn and Eire Og Annacarty play Galtee Rovers in Sean Treacy Park.There’s also one relegation semi-final taking place today in the Intermediate football championship.That’s at half past 5 in Cahir where Cashel King Cormacs go up against Father Sheehys.In camogie, the finalists for this years county senior camogie final will be decided in The Ragg today.The first semi-final throws in at 12 o clock and sees county champions Drom and Inch continue their title defence.They’re up against Cashel.Then at 4 o clock, it’s a repeat of the 2018 county final between Burgess/Duharra and Clonoulty/Rossmore in the other semi-final. Loughmore-Castleiney are the first team through to this years final of the county senior hurling championship.They beat Nenagh Eire Og yesterday evening in the semi-final in Semple Stadium on a scoreline of 1-22 to 1-12.Speaking to Tipp FM after the game, Loughmore manager Frankie McGrath was happy with the win but suggests they still have a lot to improve on:last_img read more

‘Always Sunny’ signed for a record 15th season

first_imgL-R – Rob McElhenney, Glenn Howerton — Patrick McElhenney/FXX(LOS ANGELES) — FX has renewed It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia for a record-breaking 15th season, according to Deadline. The series, which wrapped up its 14th season in November, had already tied the very different  The Adventures of Ozzie and Harriet for longest-running live-action comedy series by seasons. It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia creators Rob McElhenney, Glenn Howerton and Charlie Day star in the comedy, along with Kaitlin Olson and Danny DeVito.McElhenney told ABC Audio about the longevity of the series. “We always believed in the show. We always loved making the show. And I think that’s the key. I think when people ask about the success of Sunny, I think that the most important thing, as I think about it over the 14 years, is that we all love each other, truly, and that we’re having fun making the show.”He adds, “People talk about this in terms of TV shows and movies all the time. ‘You were family.’ But we are literally a family. We’re all married to one another.” McElhenney’s married to his co-star, Kaitlin Olson,  Day is married to featured Sunny player Mary Elizabeth Ellis, and Howerton met his wife, Jill Latiano, after she appeared on an episode.Co-producer Megan Ganz adds with a laugh, “Someday the kids will be on the show. Season 25, guys.” McElhenney adds, “That’ll be spin off, as our children become the stars of the show.”Rob says, “When you make a show about people who are such sociopaths, essentially, and almost cartoonishly evil, in terms of comedy, the only way it works is that it’s clear the human behinds behind it are not, right?” said McElhenney, addressing the secret of show’s staying power. “It’s clear that we’re having fun…”By George Costantino and Stephen IervolinoCopyright © 2020, ABC Audio. All rights reserved.last_img read more

Las Palmas’ midfielder Alen Halilovic ruled out until 2018

first_img Halilovic injured his ankle in the win over Athletic Club last week after a challenge from Raul Garcia and was carried off on a strecther.  IN SPORT.ES efe Former Barcelona player Halilovic is currently on an 18-month loan with La Liga side Las Palmas from Hamburg. Croatian international Alen Halilovic will have to undergo surgery and will be out for at least two months, the player revealed on Sunday, with Las Palmas coach Pako Ayestaran confirming the news shortly after.  15/10/2017 CESTcenter_img Halilovic, adiós al 2017 The first diagnosis spoke of a “trauma” injury and later a “strain of the ligament” according to an MRI scan that was described as “reassuring”, although it was pending “further tests”. Those further tests have finally confirmed the severity of the injury and the need for an operation. Upd. at 23:45 If the estimated duration of Halilovic’s time on the sidelines will be a minimum of two months, ruling him out of action until the New Year. last_img read more

Friday on my mind

first_imgBy RUSSELL BENNETT THE West Gippsland Warriors have fallen short of making the final day of the Country Week carnival…[To read the rest of this story Subscribe or Login to the Gazette Access Pass] Thanks for reading the Pakenham Berwick Gazette. Subscribe or Login to read the rest of this content with the Gazette Digital Access Pass subscription.last_img

Ferrer blocking Murray’s path to first Australian Open title

first_imgBy Shravanth VijayakumarWorld number two Andy Murray, four times a losing finalist, will continue his pursuit of a first Australian Open title against eighth seed David Ferrer in a quarter-final match on Wednesday.In the women’s draw, seventh seed Angelique Kerber from Poland, making her first appearance in the quarter-finals, faces two-times champion Victoria Azarenka, who has yet to drop a set in the tournament.Murray has won his last five matches against the 33-year-old Ferrer, but the Spaniard is in dominant form in Melbourne and is the only player in the men’s draw to reach the last eight without dropping a set.Murray, who is five years younger than Ferrer, said age would make no difference in the match.“He’s in good shape. He fights so hard in every single match. He’s been rewarded for that with an unbelievably consistent career at the top of the game,” Murray said.Kerber will be looking to improve her record against Azarenka, who she has not beaten in six attempts, but the Pole is determined not to let history weigh on her mind.“You know, I had tough matches against her in the past. I will be looking forward when I play against her to really take my chances. It’s a new one, it starts from zero, and I know what’s coming from her,” Kerber said.Meanwhile, 23rd seed Gael Monfils takes on 13th seed Milos Raonic, who knocked out world number four Stan Wawrinka in the previous round. At stake for both players is a first semifinal appearance at the tournament.Monfils has come out on top in both of their two previous matches, but big-serving Canadian Raonic has backed himself to prevail this time around.“I just have to take the game to him. I have to make him feel uncomfortable. Not let him get into his sort of playing comfort. If I can sort of keep up with the efficiency moving forward, I’ll have definitely some opportunities,” Raonic said.The only two unseeded players left in the tournament, Britain’s Johanna Konta and China’s Zhang Shuai, will battle it out in Wednesday’s second match at the Rod Laver Arena.Konta’s quarter-final appearance means that Britain has male and female representation in the quarter-finals of a Grand Slam tournament for the first time since 1977.By Shravanth Vijayakumarlast_img read more